2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:30 PM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANSKE Niul S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 FELICIANO Damien 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
3 HONEK Kyle 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28% 2%
3 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
6 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 54% 11%
7 ELDRIDGE Hudson 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
8 BENGTSON Jasmine 100% 98% 84% 45% 7% - -
9 SANFORD Wesley 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
10 SCHROEDER Karl A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
11 DRAWZ Chase 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8%
12 CAVEN Emerald 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
13 STENZEL Henry 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
14 YATES Graeme 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 1%
15 HICKNER Gabe 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
16 TELCI Arya 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% - -
17 CULVER Hannah 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
18 PETERSON Penelope 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
19 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
20 LEE Wilson 100% 99% 83% 40% 8% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.