AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-8 Women's Foil

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAI Claire 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
2 DING Athena 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
3 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 SUN Leia 100% 98% 79% 38% 7% < 1%
5 GUAN Angie 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 1%
6 ISAAC Felicity 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
7 CHEN Lyra 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
8 SONG Esther W 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
9 KNOX aysa 100% 94% 68% 30% 6%
10 PARK Cora 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
11 CHOI Audrey M 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
12 LIN Chloe 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
13 LIN Valentina 100% 83% 46% 13% 2%
14 CHEN Yingying 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
15 MIAO Aria 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
15 QU Alice 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
17 ZHANG Ellen 100% 91% 61% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.