AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Sangwook - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 TANG Zheng 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
3 LU Jacob - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 GACIOCH Noah - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
5 CHEN Ryan - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
6 LOUIE Joseph - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
7 MUENKE Magnus - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
8 ENG Kyler 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
9 WU Steven - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
10 NIKIFOROV Timofei - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
11 TANG Michael 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
12 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
13 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 1% 13% 37% 37% 11%
14 RONG Marcus 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
15 KIM Daniel - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
16 MEHROTRA Neel - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
17 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
18 KLINKNER Richard - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
19 DEVINENI Avyang - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
20 MOSLEY Wally 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
21 PARKE Nathaniel - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
21 ZHANG Austin - 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5%
23 PARKER Isaiah - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
24 YAO Tristan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
25 QIAO James - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
26 SU Samuel - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
27 LI Grayson - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
28 FU Nolan - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
29 LEUNG Dylan 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
30 WONG Aaron 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
31 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
32 SZETO Zachary 17% 55% 23% 4% - -
33 GOWDA Suyog - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
34 CHU Ted - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
35 GUO Luke 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
36 ADDLEMAN Joshua - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
37 HERNDON Liam - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 15%
38 PIVOVAROV Lucas - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
39 KOU Mason 6% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
40 YILMAZ Tarik - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
41 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
42 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
43 AVETISIAN Michael - 4% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
43 KROTZ Nicolas 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
45 DU Evan - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 11%
46 WANG Devin - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
47 MA Nolan 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
48 PAI Marcus 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
49 PARRA Lucas - 5% 31% 41% 20% 3%
50 SCHWITZER Eliot - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
51 YU Brandon 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
52 PETKOV Keean - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
53 FUNG SHAUN 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
54 ZHANG Luqi 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 2%
55 DENG Henry - 3% 16% 36% 35% 11%
56 RONG Gordon - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
57 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
57 LEE Leo 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% -
59 TOPPING Axel 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
60 HU Jingsen 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
61 BAUMAN Colin 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
62 KIM Remington 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
63 MOU Jaydon - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9% 1%
64 WOO Lucas 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2%
65 CHANG Matthew - 1% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
66 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
67 LIN Daniel 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
68 HSU Joshua - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
69 MARTIN Lucas 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
70 LIU Xuyao 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
71 LIU Max 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
72 XUE Michael - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
73 LEE Damien - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
74 BROWN Korbyn - 3% 22% 42% 28% 6%
75 MENG Haoyi 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
76 DENG Andes 32% 46% 18% 3% - -
76 REYES Landon 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
78 SHIN Ryan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
79 FUNG SCOTT 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
80 LUO Alvin Y. 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
81 LIU Daniel 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
82 MARTIN zachary 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
83 PARSA Rayan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
84 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
85 SONG Jonathan 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
86 KIM Julian 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
87 OR Anson 29% 47% 20% 4% - -
88 LI Sean 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
89 DIESSNER Henry 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
90 NGUYEN Ethan V. 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
91 LU Ian 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
92 BUENAVENTURA Camden 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
93 WANG Juehan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
94 WU MiEr 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
95 QIU William 26% 44% 24% 5% 1% - -
95 LAU Caleb 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
97 YU Haoyun 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
99 OLIVAS Joseph 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
100 WLOKA Erik 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
101 LIN Bryan 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
102 ABRAHAM Aaron 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
103 LOUIE Kyle 65% 32% 3% - - -
104 ZENG Felix 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
105 YUN Nicholas 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
106 AYDIN Kaan 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.