AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 TANG Zheng 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
3 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
5 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
6 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
7 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
8 ENG Kyler 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
9 WU Steven 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
10 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
11 TANG Michael 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
12 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
13 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 99% 85% 48% 11%
14 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 1%
15 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
16 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
17 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
18 KLINKNER Richard 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
19 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
20 MOSLEY Wally 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
21 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
21 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
23 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
24 YAO Tristan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
25 QIAO James 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
26 SU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
27 LI Grayson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
28 FU Nolan 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
29 LEUNG Dylan 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
30 WONG Aaron 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
31 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
32 SZETO Zachary 100% 83% 27% 4% - -
33 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
34 CHU Ted 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
35 GUO Luke 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
36 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
37 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
38 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
39 KOU Mason 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
40 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
41 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
42 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
43 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
43 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
45 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
46 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
47 MA Nolan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
48 PAI Marcus 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
49 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 94% 64% 23% 3%
50 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
51 YU Brandon 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
52 PETKOV Keean 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
53 FUNG SHAUN 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
54 ZHANG Luqi 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
55 DENG Henry 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
56 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
57 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
57 LEE Leo 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
59 TOPPING Axel 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
60 HU Jingsen 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
61 BAUMAN Colin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
62 KIM Remington 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
63 MOU Jaydon 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
64 WOO Lucas 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2%
65 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 19% 2%
66 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
67 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
68 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
69 MARTIN Lucas 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
70 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
71 LIU Max 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
72 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
73 LEE Damien 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
74 BROWN Korbyn 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
75 MENG Haoyi 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
76 DENG Andes 100% 68% 21% 3% - -
76 REYES Landon 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
78 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
79 FUNG SCOTT 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
80 LUO Alvin Y. 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
81 LIU Daniel 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
82 MARTIN zachary 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
83 PARSA Rayan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
84 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
85 SONG Jonathan 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
86 KIM Julian 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
87 OR Anson 100% 71% 24% 4% - -
88 LI Sean 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
89 DIESSNER Henry 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
90 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
91 LU Ian 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
92 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
93 WANG Juehan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
94 WU MiEr 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
95 QIU William 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
95 LAU Caleb 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
97 YU Haoyun 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
99 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
100 WLOKA Erik 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
101 LIN Bryan 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
102 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
103 LOUIE Kyle 100% 35% 3% - - -
104 ZENG Felix 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
105 YUN Nicholas 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
106 AYDIN Kaan 100% 98% 73% 33% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.