AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIECK Logan O. - - - - 3% 26% 70%
2 BIDA Sergey - - - - 3% 97%
3 CHIEN Brandon - - 4% 30% 65%
3 PARKER Isaiah - - 4% 20% 43% 28% 5%
5 YU Austin - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
6 SMITH Justin C. - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
7 LEE Aiden - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
8 LU Jacob 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
9 ROBINSON Samuel - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
10 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
11 TANG William - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
12 PETROLL Jared P. - - - 1% 16% 83%
13 KIM Alexander - 3% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
14 LI Yunji (Rain) - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
15 RICHARD silas 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 RONG Gordon - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
18 JAIN Samyak 1% 8% 34% 47% 10%
19 ROCK Matt W. - - - 2% 16% 49% 33%
20 WELDON Benjamin - - - 3% 20% 46% 30%
21 DEMPSEY Connor - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
22 CHUNG Andrew - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
23 MENEGOLI Lorenzo - - - 2% 15% 47% 36%
24 MCLAREN Mason 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
25 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
26 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 3% -
27 WANG Terry - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
28 KIM Jayden - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
29 ZHANG Austin 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
30 LEE Royce 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
31 WU Steven - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
32 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
33 PIVOVAROV Lucas - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
34 WONG Preston 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
35 CHANG Andrew 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 2%
36 YOUNG Quentin 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
37 MAYCHROWITZ Matt - 4% 21% 43% 31% 1%
38 CHEW Aedan - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
39 SOULAIRE Tom - - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
40 DU Yiwei 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 4% -
41 XU Yanwen 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
42 ELZAYN Hadi S. - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16%
43 MORIN-JIANG Jake 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 3%
44 GACIOCH Noah 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
45 KILUK Andrew - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
46 MUENKE Magnus - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
47 ONG Jee Ken - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
48 ZGAMA Oleksii 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
49 LI Ethan R. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
50 PARKE Nathaniel 1% 12% 36% 36% 12% 2% -
51 GUIRAUDET Alistair 16% 47% 31% 6% -
52 NIKIFOROV Timofei - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
53 REICHMANN Theo 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
54 CHENG Trevor 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
55 CHAUDHURI Kabir 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
56 DAN Rex 5% 22% 37% 28% 8% -
57 TOYOFUKU Ethan 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% -
58 MARTIN Lucas 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
59 LIANG Donny 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6% -
60 MARTIN zachary 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
61 GADHVI Darius 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
62 WOO Lucas 13% 43% 32% 10% 1% - -
63 GUO Woody 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
64 HEINS Dylan 2% 13% 35% 37% 13% -
65 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
66 SIM Ian - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
67 WONG Vansen 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
68 LIN Jason 23% 44% 27% 7% 1% - -
69 SCHWITZER Eliot 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
70 SCHIEK Harrison - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
71 LOUIE Joseph 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
72 KIM Remington 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
73 ANDERSON Kai - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10% 1%
74 KLINKNER Richard 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
75 DODDAPANENI Aarav 10% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
76 KOUTSOUKOS James 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
77 KENNY Oliver R. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
78 ALLEN Graham - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
79 LI Timothy 1% 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
80 KIM Ian 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
81 ALLEN David 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
82 FU Adrian 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
83 LIPTON Michael D. 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
84 HERNDON Liam 4% 27% 46% 20% 2%
85 AVETISIAN Alexander 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
86 SIRBU Dan 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
87 MAXU Tiger 19% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
88 YI David 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
89 MENG Haoyi 9% 42% 36% 11% 1% - -
90 XUE Chenming 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
91 LI Sean 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
91 KOHLER Florian 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
93 QIAO James 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
94 BECK Brian C. 1% 13% 38% 35% 11% 1% -
95 DENG Andes 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
95 REED David 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
97 RAHMAN Ali 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
98 WANG Dylan 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
99 BROWN Korbyn 47% 41% 11% 1% -
100 CHI Kai-Hung 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
101 CHAO Warren 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
102 MARKOFF Gabriel 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
103 DAN Chuntao 14% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
104 GOWDA Suyog 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
105 DENG Destin 30% 43% 21% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.