AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
3 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
3 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 5%
5 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
6 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
7 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
8 LU Jacob 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
9 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
10 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
11 TANG William 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
12 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
13 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
14 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
15 RICHARD silas 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
18 JAIN Samyak 100% 99% 92% 58% 10%
19 ROCK Matt W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
20 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
21 DEMPSEY Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
22 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 11%
23 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
24 MCLAREN Mason 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
25 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
26 SAHAGIAN Izzy C. 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3% -
27 WANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
28 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
29 ZHANG Austin 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
30 LEE Royce 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 1%
31 WU Steven 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
32 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
33 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
34 WONG Preston 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
35 CHANG Andrew 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
36 YOUNG Quentin 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
37 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 100% 95% 74% 31% 1%
38 CHEW Aedan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
40 DU Yiwei 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
41 XU Yanwen 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
42 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
43 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
44 GACIOCH Noah 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
45 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
46 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
47 ONG Jee Ken 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
48 ZGAMA Oleksii 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
49 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
50 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
51 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 84% 37% 6% -
52 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
53 REICHMANN Theo 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
54 CHENG Trevor 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
55 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
56 DAN Rex 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% -
57 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
58 MARTIN Lucas 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
59 LIANG Donny 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
60 MARTIN zachary 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
61 GADHVI Darius 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
62 WOO Lucas 100% 87% 43% 11% 2% - -
63 GUO Woody 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
64 HEINS Dylan 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% -
65 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
66 SIM Ian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
67 WONG Vansen 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
68 LIN Jason 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
69 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
70 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
71 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
72 KIM Remington 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
73 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11% 1%
74 KLINKNER Richard 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
75 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
76 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
77 KENNY Oliver R. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
78 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
79 LI Timothy 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
80 KIM Ian 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
81 ALLEN David 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
82 FU Adrian 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
83 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
84 HERNDON Liam 100% 96% 68% 22% 2%
85 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
86 SIRBU Dan 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
87 MAXU Tiger 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
88 YI David 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
89 MENG Haoyi 100% 91% 49% 13% 1% - -
90 XUE Chenming 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
91 LI Sean 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
91 KOHLER Florian 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
93 QIAO James 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
94 BECK Brian C. 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
95 DENG Andes 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
95 REED David 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
97 RAHMAN Ali 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
98 WANG Dylan 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
99 BROWN Korbyn 100% 53% 11% 1% -
100 CHI Kai-Hung 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
101 CHAO Warren 100% 92% 62% 22% 4% -
102 MARKOFF Gabriel 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
103 DAN Chuntao 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
104 GOWDA Suyog 100% 93% 65% 28% 5% -
105 DENG Destin 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.