Event Results
The Margherita Guzzi Vincenti CupSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SPIER Julian H. | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| 2 | MCDOWELL Will | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. | D V V D D V | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | BEACH John | V V V D V V | V V D | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| 5 | CURTY Jack | V V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | GLASS Timothy C. | V V V D V V | V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 7 | NASSOS Eric | V V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 8 | MCCORD Jack | V D D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 9 | SWANSON Dave | D V V V V V | D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 10 | SADLER August | V V D D V V | D | 1.3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| 11 | BURKHARDT Krista L. | D D D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 12 | BANACH Ross | D D V V D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 13 | SWENSON Diego | V D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 14 | RITTERBUSCH Abigail | D D V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 15 | NAGANOBORI Hiroki | D D D V D D | V D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 16 | STEINEKE Warren | D D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 17 | MISIOURA Mark | D V D D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 18 | JOYCE Brady | V D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 19 | SKILLINGS Byron | D D V V D D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 20 | SWENSON Alexandra | D V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 21 | NIXON Bailey | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |