The Margherita Guzzi Vincenti Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPIER Julian H. - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
2 MCDOWELL Will - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 20%
3 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
3 BEACH John - - - - 8% 43% 48%
5 CURTY Jack - - 1% 11% 34% 41% 13%
6 GLASS Timothy C. - - - 2% 12% 41% 45%
7 NASSOS Eric - 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
8 MCCORD Jack - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
9 SWANSON Dave - 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
10 SADLER August 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
11 BURKHARDT Krista L. 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1% -
12 BANACH Ross 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 4% -
13 SWENSON Diego 3% 21% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
14 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
15 NAGANOBORI Hiroki - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 2%
16 STEINEKE Warren 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
17 MISIOURA Mark 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
18 JOYCE Brady 16% 42% 32% 9% 1% - -
19 SKILLINGS Byron - 4% 29% 62% 5% - -
20 SWENSON Alexandra 2% 22% 43% 27% 6% - -
21 NIXON Bailey 66% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.