AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
3 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
3 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
5 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
6 WANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
8 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
9 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
10 WANG Devin 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
11 TANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
12 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
13 YOUNG Quentin 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
14 FU Nolan 100% 93% 64% 25% 4%
15 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
16 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
17 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
18 LIU Max 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% < 1%
19 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
20 SU Samuel 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
21 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
22 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
23 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
24 DENG Henry 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
25 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
26 ZHANG Austin 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
27 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
28 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
29 LI Timothy 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
30 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
32 CHEW Aedan 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
33 NIKIFOROV Timofei 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
34 DEVINENI Avyang 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% < 1%
35 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
36 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
37 KIM Remington 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
38 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
39 MAXU Tiger 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
40 LIANG Donny 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
41 FUNG SHAUN 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
42 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
43 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
44 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
45 LOUIE Joseph 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
46 LIN Jason 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
47 PETKOV Keean 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
48 LEE Royce 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
49 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
50 MARTIN zachary 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
51 MENG Haoyi 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
52 LEE Anton 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
53 DAN Rex 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 3%
54 CHU Ted 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
55 MYRAH Devin 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
56 ZHANG Luqi 100% 72% 30% 6% 1%
57 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 81% 39% 11% 2% - -
58 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
59 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
60 ORMOND Andrew 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
61 LEE Damien 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
62 WU Eric 100% 99% 82% 42% 10% 1%
63 BROWN Korbyn 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
64 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
65 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
66 GUO Woody 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
67 LI Grayson 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
68 YAO Tristan 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
69 BAUMAN Colin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
70 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 69% 25% 5% 1% - -
71 LIN Andrew 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
72 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
73 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
74 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
76 ANDERSON Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
76 CHENG Trevor 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
78 WANG Dylan 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
79 MCLAREN Mason 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
80 LIN Daniel 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
81 RONG Marcus 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
82 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
83 MOU Jaydon 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
84 KIM Ian 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
85 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
86 WONG Preston 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
87 BERTEL Florian 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
88 LIU Xuyao 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
89 KLINKNER Richard 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
90 MARTIN Lucas 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
91 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
92 LI Sean 100% 86% 42% 11% 1% - -
92 BAI Alex 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
94 LEUNG Dylan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
95 KIM Julian 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
96 GUO Luke 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
97 REYES Landon 100% 90% 52% 16% 3% - -
98 TOPPING Axel 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
98 QIN Owen 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
100 GADHVI Darius 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
101 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
101 PAI Marcus 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% -
103 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
104 YU Brandon 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
105 OR Anson 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
105 WONG Benjamin 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
107 WONG Vansen 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
108 KOU Mason 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 AYDIN Kaan 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
110 QIAO James 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
112 DENG Andes 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
113 WLOKA Erik 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
114 QIU William 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
115 HOBBS Fineas 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.