GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
2 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
3 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
5 PECKENS Tyler 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
6 ROWLAND Marsden 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
7 WILLIAMS Logan 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
8 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
9 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
10 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
11 DEPAUW Devan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
12 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
13 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 7%
14 BOSS Evan 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
15 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
16 TOWNSEND George 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3%
17 GERACI Paul A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 WANG Kaiyan 100% 98% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
19 BEACH John 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
20 CURTY Jack 100% 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 2%
21 LARSON Vaughn 100% 89% 45% 11% 1% - -
21 STREETER Oliver 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
23 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
24 MILLER Lance W. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
25 YANG Junhu 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
26 DRAWZ Chase 100% 97% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
27 HALL Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
28 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
29 ALI Adam 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
30 SHI Yeyu 100% 23% 2% - - - -
31 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 90% 35% 7% 1% - -
32 LIU-XUE Shuliang 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
33 FIGURA Lucas 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
34 WILTSE Alexander 100% 80% 30% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.