GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEYVA MATOS Danyer - - - 6% 31% 63%
2 ARATA Connor - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 COPELAND Nigel - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
3 ZMUDA Aiden 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
5 DIFRANK Tae 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
6 RUBY Asher 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
7 EDWARDS Connor - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
8 ZINSER James 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
9 TEH Tang-Ngu - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 TOEWS Jackson - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
11 KABARITI Karim - 1% 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
12 SMITH Erick - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
13 DIEPSTRA Jeremy - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
14 FAN Sean 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
15 HEYBOER Jason - - 3% 13% 31% 38% 16%
16 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
17 FEEHAN Conor 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - < 1%
18 MCMILLIAN Harrison - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
19 CARRINO David - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
20 STELLPFLUG Zachary 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
21 YANG David H. - 8% 30% 39% 19% 3%
22 HASTINGS Alex 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
23 TAGORE Reyansh 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
24 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
25 NAZARIO Dominic - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
26 DAVIS Benjamin - 3% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
27 TIAN Nicolas 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
28 FERGUSON Levi 4% 33% 40% 19% 3% -
29 KOLACKI Gabriel 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
30 RONE Tosan - - < 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
31 DECKER Evan M. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
32 CHEN Jonathan - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
33 ELSAYED Ahmed 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
34 LANDA Luis 1% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
35 TERPSTRA Clive 79% 20% 1% - - - -
36 DENG Albert 14% 67% 17% 2% - - -
37 HICKNER Gabe 71% 25% 3% - - -
38 MISIOURA Mark 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
39 WILLIAMS Christopher R. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
40 PANKOTAI Alexander 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.