MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LEYVA MATOS Danyer | V V D V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 2 | ARATA Connor | V V D V V | V V V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 3 | COPELAND Nigel | D V D V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| 3 | ZMUDA Aiden | V D V V D | V V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | DIFRANK Tae | V V V D V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 6 | RUBY Asher | V V V D V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 7 | EDWARDS Connor | V D V D V D | V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 8 | ZINSER James | V D V D D | V V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 9 | TEH Tang-Ngu | D V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 10 | TOEWS Jackson | D V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 11 | KABARITI Karim | V V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 12 | SMITH Erick | V D V V V V | V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 13 | DIEPSTRA Jeremy | D V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 14 | FAN Sean | D V D V D D | V V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 15 | HEYBOER Jason | D V V D D D | V V D | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| 16 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | D D D D D V | V V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 17 | FEEHAN Conor | V V V V V V | D | 1.6 | 6 | +4.4 |
| 18 | MCMILLIAN Harrison | V V V V V D | D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 19 | CARRINO David | V V V V V D | D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 20 | STELLPFLUG Zachary | V V V V D V | D | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 21 | YANG David H. | V D V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 22 | HASTINGS Alex | V V D V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 23 | TAGORE Reyansh | V D V V V D | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 24 | BLAKEMAN Michael J. | D V V D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 25 | NAZARIO Dominic | V D V V D D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 26 | DAVIS Benjamin | D D D V V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 27 | TIAN Nicolas | V V D D V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 28 | FERGUSON Levi | D V D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 29 | KOLACKI Gabriel | D D D V D V | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 30 | RONE Tosan | V V D D D D | V D | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| 31 | DECKER Evan M. | D V D D V D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 32 | CHEN Jonathan | D D D D D V | V D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 33 | ELSAYED Ahmed | D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 34 | LANDA Luis | D D D D V D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 35 | TERPSTRA Clive | D D D D D V | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 36 | DENG Albert | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 37 | HICKNER Gabe | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 38 | MISIOURA Mark | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 39 | WILLIAMS Christopher R. | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 40 | PANKOTAI Alexander | D D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.