GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 3:30 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
2 EDWARDS Connor - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
3 ZMUDA Aiden - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
3 ZINSER James - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
5 FEEHAN Conor 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
6 DIFRANK Tae - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 5%
7 HEYBOER Jason - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 FOSTERVOLD Castiel - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
9 NAZARIO Dominic - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
10 HASTINGS Alex 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
11 WENGER Liam 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
12 DECKER Evan M. - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
13 MCMILLIAN Harrison - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
14 SYMMANK Callen 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
15 CARRINO David - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
16 ARATA Connor - - - < 1% 3% 25% 71%
17 GOGOI Kavi 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
18 TAGORE Reyansh 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
19 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
20 NI Aaric - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
21 UNTEREKER Billy 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
22 KABARITI Karim - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
23 WANG Freyr - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
24 PAYNE Lynas 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
25 DEPP Edward 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
26 STELLPFLUG Zachary 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
27 ELSAYED Ahmed 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
28 BASS Nathan - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
29 WENGER Rowan - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
30 DAVIS Benjamin - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
31 MISIOURA Mark 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
32 POST Bentley 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
33 GU Jonathan 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
34 WILLIAMS Christopher R. 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
35 LANDA Luis 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
36 RYAN Nash 1% 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
37 CHASE Crosby 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
38 HICKNER Gabe 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
39 TERPSTRA Clive 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
40 DAVIS Jace W. 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
41 UNGEMAH Joseph 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
42 DENG Albert 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
43 PRYOR Ted 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
44 VOGEL Rylan 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
45 KOLACKI Gabriel 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
46 GOLLNICK Brian 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
47 SOMERFORD Alex 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.