GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 3:30 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
3 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
3 ZINSER James 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
5 FEEHAN Conor 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
6 DIFRANK Tae 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
7 HEYBOER Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
9 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
10 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
11 WENGER Liam 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
12 DECKER Evan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
13 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
14 SYMMANK Callen 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
15 CARRINO David 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
16 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
17 GOGOI Kavi 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5% -
18 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
19 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
20 NI Aaric 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
21 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
22 KABARITI Karim 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
23 WANG Freyr 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
24 PAYNE Lynas 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
25 DEPP Edward 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
26 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
27 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
28 BASS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
29 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
30 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
31 MISIOURA Mark 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
32 POST Bentley 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
33 GU Jonathan 100% 90% 54% 19% 4% - -
34 WILLIAMS Christopher R. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
35 LANDA Luis 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% 1% -
36 RYAN Nash 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
37 CHASE Crosby 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
38 HICKNER Gabe 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
39 TERPSTRA Clive 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
40 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
41 UNGEMAH Joseph 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
42 DENG Albert 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
43 PRYOR Ted 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
44 VOGEL Rylan 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
45 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
46 GOLLNICK Brian 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
47 SOMERFORD Alex 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.