Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALEXANDER Jacksen 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
2 WATSON Raymond - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 WHITE Myles - 2% 16% 46% 34% 2%
3 LANG Kurt - - - 4% 30% 65%
5 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - 1% 8% 31% 45% 16%
6 SO Lorenzo - 1% 13% 41% 37% 7%
7 KELLEY Hayden - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
8 SCHAPIRO Jacob - 1% 16% 49% 34%
9 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
10 FOREST Sung - - 3% 19% 43% 35%
11 NANAYAKKARA Damin - 6% 29% 42% 20% 3%
12 MONTESI Eric - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
13 MILLER Luke - 1% 6% 23% 41% 27% 2%
14 FEELY Benjamin 1% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn - 1% 13% 48% 38%
16 RAWSON Nicholas - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
17 CHAN Ian 33% 49% 17% 1% < 1%
18 FONG Henry 3% 31% 41% 21% 4% -
19 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
20 SHELLY Emery - 5% 22% 40% 29% 5%
21 BADLANI Neel 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
22 CAVE Rylan 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
23 DILDA Griffin 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
24 TANG Justin - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
25 BOZARTH Alex - 3% 16% 38% 35% 9%
26 PANE Patrick - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
27 BENUCCI Vincent 1% 11% 36% 36% 13% 2%
28 CASSIDY Leo 8% 37% 46% 8% -
29 KELLEY Nathan 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
30 FEAGIN Patrick 4% 26% 45% 21% 3% -
31 WASHINGTON Max - 1% 13% 38% 37% 11%
32 NGUYEN Ethan 2% 21% 40% 29% 8% 1%
33 THOMPSON Josh 50% 41% 9% 1% - -
34 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 22% 43% 27% 7% 1%
35 HUANG Taohua 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
36 LUNDEN Espen 39% 46% 14% 1% - -
37 FEELY Tom 19% 51% 25% 5% - -
37 ADAMSON Jack - 6% 25% 41% 24% 4%
39 IYER Matthias 18% 47% 28% 6% 1% -
41 HEATH Sarah 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
42 GRAMLICH Bradley 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
43 SWENSON Jason 6% 38% 40% 14% 2% - -
44 JOHNSTON Kira 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
45 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 59% 34% 6% 1% - -
45 VOORHEES Owen 10% 52% 30% 6% 1% -
47 CRISPIN Haley 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
47 CASTRO Ryan 22% 46% 26% 5% - -
49 MUNDAY Arlie 72% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.