Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
2 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
3 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 98% 83% 36% 2%
3 LANG Kurt 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
6 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 7%
7 KELLEY Hayden 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
8 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
9 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
10 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
11 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3%
12 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
13 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29% 2%
14 FEELY Benjamin 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
16 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
17 CHAN Ian 100% 67% 18% 1% < 1%
18 FONG Henry 100% 97% 66% 25% 5% -
19 PALPANDIAN Ilanchezhian 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
20 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
21 BADLANI Neel 100% 98% 85% 46% 13% 1%
22 CAVE Rylan 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
23 DILDA Griffin 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
24 TANG Justin 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
25 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
26 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
27 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
28 CASSIDY Leo 100% 92% 55% 9% -
29 KELLEY Nathan 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
30 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 96% 69% 24% 4% -
31 WASHINGTON Max 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
32 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 98% 77% 38% 9% 1%
33 THOMPSON Josh 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
34 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 100% 78% 34% 7% 1%
35 HUANG Taohua 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
36 LUNDEN Espen 100% 61% 15% 1% - -
37 FEELY Tom 100% 81% 30% 5% - -
37 ADAMSON Jack 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
39 IYER Matthias 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% -
41 HEATH Sarah 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
42 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
43 SWENSON Jason 100% 94% 56% 16% 2% - -
44 JOHNSTON Kira 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
45 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
45 VOORHEES Owen 100% 90% 38% 7% 1% -
47 CRISPIN Haley 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
47 CASTRO Ryan 100% 78% 32% 5% - -
49 MUNDAY Arlie 100% 28% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.