GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 LEE Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
3 RUBY Asher 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
5 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
6 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
7 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
8 ARAVINDAKSHA Ayaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
9 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 36%
10 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
11 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
12 DIFRANK Tae 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
13 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
14 DEPP Edward 100% 91% 55% 15% 2% - -
15 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
16 WANG Freyr 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
17 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 5%
18 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
19 FAN Sean 100% 99% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
20 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
21 ZINSER James 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 2%
22 LI Andy 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
23 DUNLAP Ian 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
24 POWELL Sean 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
25 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
26 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 2% -
27 HONG Derek 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
28 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 95% 71% 30% 5% -
29 HERRERA Xavier 100% 99% 81% 39% 8% -
30 HEYBOER Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 22% 3%
31 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
32 FEEHAN Conor 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
33 WENGER Liam 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
34 TERPSTRA Clive 100% 21% 1% - - -
35 WENGER Rowan 100% 96% 62% 20% 2% -
36 GOGOI Kavi 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
37 NI Aaric 100% 84% 44% 12% 1% -
38 DENG Albert 100% 64% 17% 2% - - -
39 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
40 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
41 CHASE Crosby 100% 72% 22% 3% - - -
41 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
43 RYAN Nash 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
44 GU Jonathan 100% 71% 22% 3% - - -
45 LANDA Luis 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
46 SOMERFORD Alex 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.