Rain City Fall RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
3 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
3 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
5 XIA Daniel 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
6 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
7 SMITH Etienne 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
9 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
10 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 72% 28% 5% -
11 KELLEHER Liam 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
12 JANG Seohyeon 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
13 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
14 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
15 SIT Jayden Ka-Hin 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
16 ZHEN Felix 100% 73% 30% 6% -
17 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 94% 66% 28% 5% -
18 PERNICK Rhen 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
19 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% -
20 XIA Henson 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
21 STEIPP Mathew 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
22 LUO Winston 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 1%
23 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 88% 52% 17% 2%
24 JOHNSON Jack 100% 91% 58% 20% 3%
25 MORRIS Gray 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
26 CHEN Brandon 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
26 PETTY Eliot 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
29 WANG William 100% 88% 53% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.