Thanksgiving Throwdown

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
2 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
3 BARTON Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
3 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 6%
5 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
6 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 100% 100% 91% 56% 17% 2%
7 GUO Benjamin 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% < 1% -
8 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% - -
9 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
10 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1%
11 ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
12 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4% -
13 NEWSOME James L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
14 NANAYAKKARA Damin 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
15 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
16 MILLNER Brian 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
17 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
18 WU Jiachen 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
19 HUDSON Brian 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
20 SHELLY Emery 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
21 HO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
22 CRIPS-SORGER Jesse 100% 96% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
23 SWENSON Jason 100% 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
24 WHITE Elijah 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12% 1%
25 KRECK Marie 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
26 HALES Adam 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
27 LEI Angeline 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
28 VILLAVICENCIO Fiorella 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.