2025 TCFC November Challenges

E & Under Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:30 PM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RUBIN Joshua 2% 17% 39% 34% 8%
2 MIEST Davis 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
3 SCHLIEP Anna 14% 42% 33% 10% 1%
3 LEE Wilson 17% 45% 32% 7%
5 JORGENSEN Rebekah 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
6 CAVEN Emerald 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
7 LI Ziyue - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
8 CLIPPARD Erik J. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
9 NOONEY Tatum - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
10 SANFORD Wesley 1% 14% 46% 39%
11 STENZEL Henry 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
12 MINGO Ron 6% 28% 39% 22% 4%
13 HICKNER Gabe 1% 11% 37% 38% 12% 1%
14 WILLER Ryan 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
15 SVOBODA Alex 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
17 JOHN Elsa 29% 49% 21% 1%
18 CAVEN Henry 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
19 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 2%
20 STONE Ken 11% 37% 39% 13%
21 PONGRATZ Kai - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
23 UNGEMAH Edison 16% 61% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.