Cozmx Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Capital Sports Center - McClellan Park, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
2 CHEN Donovan 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% < 1%
3 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 LEE Caleb 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
5 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
7 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 84% 44% 10% 1% -
8 SEVERT David 100% 71% 30% 6% 1% - -
9 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
10 ANDERSON Bradley 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
11 MERRITT Dominik 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 1%
12 GOURJI Roman 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
13 PICACHE Merrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
14 YAN Kaysen 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
15 XU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
16 HULETTE Kirin 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% -
17 WOO Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
18 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
19 TAM Ethan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
20 YANG Kaleb 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
21 KOSUGI PALOCSAY Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
22 POLASA Viraj 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
23 CHENG Daniel 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
24 RAMAKRISHNA Aditya 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
25 LAM Nathan 100% 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.