The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
2 YAO Aiden - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 ZHUKOV Egor - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 MAXWELL Taiga 1% 10% 30% 39% 19% 1%
5 KIM Ian - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
6 KUYKENDALL Lucas 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
7 FERNANDEZ ZAMBRANA Rafael Lucas 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
8 MURPHY-MIMS Connor < 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
9 MAURAIS JP - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
10 LI Nolan 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
11 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
12 YAO Ryan - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
13 QU ethan 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
14 KUYKENDALL Logan - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
15 KIM Siwoo - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
16 SHULL Matthias 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
17 ZHAO Brandon - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
18 ZHOU Silvan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
19 KAZA Avyaan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
20 OLELE Chibuikem - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 1%
21 CHEN Zachary 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
22 EVERETT Ben 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
23 ZHEN Maxwell 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
24 SAFAI Bardia 4% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
25 BHATT Shivam 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
26 FOX Benjamin 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
27 HENRIQUEZ Juan Mateo 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
28 FEELY Samuel 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% -
29 CHONG Nikolai 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
30 MORET Declan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
31 KOCHUPURA Henry 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
32 WENDLING Andrew 7% 33% 39% 18% 4% - -
33 ZHOU Joshua < 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.