Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
2 HENDERSON Louis - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
3 KUANG Cyrus - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
3 CAO HAOTIAN - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
5 LEVY Daniel - - - 5% 26% 56% 13%
6 KOREN George - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 ZHANG Caleb - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
8 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
9 NARAYAN Rishi - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
10 LI Lucas - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
11 ZALETAEV Jacob - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
12 LU Simon - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
13 ZHANG Weihang - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
14 YANG Aegon - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 2%
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
16 ZHANG Howard - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
17 HU Simon - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
18 PARK Layne - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
19 O'KEEFE Brody - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
20 HAHN Ever - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
21 CHEN Brian - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
22 TERENTIEV Michael - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
23 ZHAO Alexander - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
24 WANG Henrik - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
25 MAKLIN David 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
26 MOTOV Max - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
27 SUN Leonard - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
29 THOMAS Tre 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
30 LIU Jeremy - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
31 WANG Harrison 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 2% -
32 PATEL Rohan 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
33 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
34 BI JIAJUN - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
35 GILBERT Ari 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
36 LU Hanwen - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
37 PARK Sean - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
38 FAZELINIA Erfaan - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
39 MARTIRE Francis 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
40 MOGUNOV Alan - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 8%
41 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
42 IP Hunter - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
43 GHIM Ethan - 4% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
44 LEE Shane Gunn - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
45 MA Cing Tim - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
46 SOLEJ Miles - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
47 TO Aiden 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3%
48 MANGINI Lorenzo 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
49 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
50 CHEN Luca - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
51 HUA George (Hanxun) - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
52 ATA Kevin 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
53 HEILMANN Christian 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
54 BURNS Carson - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
55 CHEN Ryan - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
56 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
56 ZHANG Hanzhi 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
58 LI Anton 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
59 LLOYD Max 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
60 SABINO Bennett 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
61 LI Derek 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
62 LI Felix 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
63 LAN Jasper 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
64 LIUZHANG Ben 10% 33% 35% 18% 4% -
65 SUH Jordan 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
66 SUH Ethan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
67 LI Jaylen William 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
68 GUO Joe 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
69 FERNAINE Thomas 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
70 ZHANG Leon 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
71 MAUREL Louis 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
72 BURCH III Andrew J. - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
74 HEILMANN Caleb - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
75 ZHANG Mark 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
76 RISMAN Edward 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
77 TIAN Michael 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
78 LI Nathan 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
79 PACIUS Hunter 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
80 HUANG Joseph 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
81 ARUN Viyaan - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
82 BADMUS David 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
83 TAK Kion - 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
84 OLSON Prescott 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
84 ROBLES Rafael 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
86 LEE Augustine 12% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
87 SINGH Ishaan - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 17%
88 KIM Colin 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
89 WONG Jacob 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 LIANG Henry 4% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
91 TAK Sion 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
92 FUNG Emerson 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
93 SHAH Ayaan 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
94 KATZ Isaac 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
95 TERNG Peter 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
96 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
97 WANG Russell - < 1% 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
98 GUO Aiden 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
99 BLACK Bennett 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
100 TANG Nicholas 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
101 JOHN Christian 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
102 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
103 BORROK Andrew 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
104 LEIGH Anthony 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
105 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% 1% -
106 PETROSYAN Aleksander 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
107 QIAO Jason 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
108 NG Ryley 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
109 TIAN Alex 1% 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
110 BROOKS Grant 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
111 GU Gordon 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
112 KULJIEV Boyan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
113 LACROIX Andy 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
114 COBEY James 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
115 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
115 CAO Osmond 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
117 XU Jayden 29% 43% 22% 5% - - -
118 KWON Joon 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
119 DIORIO James 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
120 QIU Lucas 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
121 CHEN Nathan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
122 NAYAK Kush 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
123 SKOLNIK Leo 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.