Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, November 28, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
3 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
5 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 13%
6 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
8 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
9 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 10%
10 LI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
11 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 LU Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
13 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
15 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
16 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
17 HU Simon 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
18 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 7%
19 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
20 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
21 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
22 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
23 ZHAO Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
24 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
25 MAKLIN David 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
26 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
27 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
29 THOMAS Tre 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
30 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
31 WANG Harrison 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
32 PATEL Rohan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
33 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
34 BI JIAJUN 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
35 GILBERT Ari 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
36 LU Hanwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
37 PARK Sean 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
38 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
39 MARTIRE Francis 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
40 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
41 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
42 IP Hunter 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
43 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
44 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 98% 84% 54% 20% 3%
45 MA Cing Tim 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
46 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
47 TO Aiden 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
48 MANGINI Lorenzo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
49 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
50 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
51 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
52 ATA Kevin 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
53 HEILMANN Christian 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
54 BURNS Carson 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
55 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
56 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
56 ZHANG Hanzhi 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
58 LI Anton 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
59 LLOYD Max 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
60 SABINO Bennett 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
61 LI Derek 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
62 LI Felix 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
63 LAN Jasper 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1%
64 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
65 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
66 SUH Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
67 LI Jaylen William 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2% -
68 GUO Joe 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
69 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
70 ZHANG Leon 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 4%
71 MAUREL Louis 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
72 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
74 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
75 ZHANG Mark 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
76 RISMAN Edward 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
77 TIAN Michael 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
78 LI Nathan 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 3%
79 PACIUS Hunter 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
80 HUANG Joseph 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
81 ARUN Viyaan 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
82 BADMUS David 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
83 TAK Kion 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
84 OLSON Prescott 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
84 ROBLES Rafael 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
86 LEE Augustine 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
87 SINGH Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
88 KIM Colin 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
89 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
90 LIANG Henry 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
91 TAK Sion 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
92 FUNG Emerson 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
93 SHAH Ayaan 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
94 KATZ Isaac 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
95 TERNG Peter 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
96 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
97 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
98 GUO Aiden 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
99 BLACK Bennett 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
100 TANG Nicholas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
101 JOHN Christian 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
102 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
103 BORROK Andrew 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
104 LEIGH Anthony 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
105 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
106 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
107 QIAO Jason 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
108 NG Ryley 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
109 TIAN Alex 100% 99% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
110 BROOKS Grant 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
111 GU Gordon 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
112 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 79% 39% 10% 2% - -
113 LACROIX Andy 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
114 COBEY James 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
115 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
115 CAO Osmond 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
117 XU Jayden 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
118 KWON Joon 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
119 DIORIO James 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
120 QIU Lucas 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
121 CHEN Nathan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
122 NAYAK Kush 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
123 SKOLNIK Leo 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.