Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Anton 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
2 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 CHEN Tianjun 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
5 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
6 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
7 KIM Gene 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
8 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
9 KHALIL Younis 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
10 THOMAS Andrew 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
11 ZHANG Marcus Xuanwei 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
12 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
13 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
14 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 6%
15 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
16 CHEN Evan 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
17 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
18 BHANDARE Veer 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
19 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
20 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
21 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
22 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
23 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
24 SONG Changze 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
25 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
26 WANG Eason 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
27 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
28 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
29 GUNDUBOGULA Saket 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
30 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
31 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
32 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
33 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
34 CHO Adrian 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 2% < 1%
35 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
36 SUH Aiden 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
37 LAU LUCAS 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
38 ZHENG Jason 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
39 LI Terence 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
40 LIU Austin 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
41 YI Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
42 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
43 TANG Michael 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
44 TSIEN Richard 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
45 MOZZER Nolan 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
46 CHANG Matthew 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
47 NG Nico 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
48 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
49 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
50 WU Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
51 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
52 QU RuiTing 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
53 CAMP Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
54 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
55 BENNETT Nathaniel 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
55 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
57 BORAN Brooks 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
58 KATS Brandon 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1%
59 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
60 BAYUS Oliver 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
61 WANG Marcus 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
62 THOMAS Ethan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
63 LEE Ryan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
64 ROFINO Samuel 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
65 LEE Henry 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
66 CZEPLA Andrew 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
67 GIMBRERE Alexandre 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
68 QI Bryan 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
69 KIM Julian 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
70 CUELLAR Markus 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
71 MEDISETTI Arjun 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
72 DANG William 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
73 LEE Leo 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
74 AU Joshua 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
75 WEISELBERG Mark 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
76 MAXWELL Sheito 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
77 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
78 JIANG Aidan 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
79 GAO Ryan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
80 TANG Colin 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
81 HONG Ethen 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
82 YAO Ryan 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
83 CHEN Aiden 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
84 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
85 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
86 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
87 KIM Doyun 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
88 WELCH Sebastian 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
89 LIU George 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
90 CHEN Jayden 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
91 KIM Louie 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
91 YAZDANFAR Marius 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
93 YANG Junhu 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
94 ZHU Brady 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
95 DUNCAN John 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
96 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
97 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
98 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -
99 O'BRIEN Michael 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.