Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Cindy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
2 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 WANG Makayla 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
3 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
5 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
6 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
7 CORD Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
8 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
9 HU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 FAN Tina 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
11 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
12 TAN Angela 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
13 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 11%
14 NARRELL Olive 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
15 CUI Andrea 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% -
16 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
17 LIN Rachel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
19 BAEK Aileen 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
20 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
21 CERVERA Zoe 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
22 TSE Lavine 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
23 MENDOZA SAB 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
24 ROBBINS Lydia 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
25 YU Sydney 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
26 TRAN Esme 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
27 ZHAO Audrey 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
28 HAN yujie 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
29 LUC Christabel 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
30 FISCHER Luna 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
31 CHANG Jillian 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
32 WANG Jennifer 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
33 WHITE CAREY Alberta 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% - -
34 WONG Chloe 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
35 RO Manhattan 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
36 ZHOU Kelsey 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
37 YANG annie 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
38 LOMOTAN Audrey 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.