Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yihong - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
2 FU Benjamin - - - 5% 23% 44% 29%
3 HONG Eason - 2% 12% 28% 35% 19% 3%
3 LEE Daniel 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
5 JIN JETFAN - - - - 3% 23% 73%
6 LI Kingston - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
7 DING Daniel - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
8 HAO Hardy 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
9 LI Ethan - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
10 LI John - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
11 LEUNG Joon - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
12 PINCHUK Spencer - - 4% 18% 39% 31% 8%
13 CHEN Andrew 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
14 LAU Jesse 8% 32% 42% 18% 1% -
15 BUSH Andrew - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
16 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
17 YANG Mikey 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
18 LINDBERG Everett 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
18 YIM Benjamin - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
20 SZETO Jonathan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
21 MAH Caffrey 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
22 CHI Zachary - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 1%
23 HWANG Isaac 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
23 WANG Alexander 7% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
25 KIM Ian 43% 42% 14% 2% - - -
26 SHI Ethan 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% -
27 SHEN Chris 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
28 NI Liam - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
29 LI nathan zeting 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
30 WAN William 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
31 LU Jayden 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
32 ZHANG George 3% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
33 DAI Greyson 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
34 TOUPET Luke 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 4% -
35 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
36 ZHANG Lucas 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
37 LEE Paxton 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
38 REED Andrew 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
39 DUCOURNAU Enzo 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
40 LEI Hanson - < 1% 8% 38% 48% 6%
41 LEE Zeo 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
42 HUO Yichen 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
43 STEPHAN Yannik Esteban 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
44 ANDERSON Aramis 45% 40% 13% 2% - -
45 YANG Liam 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
46 VILLAVERDE Aden 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
47 HAN Kyle < 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.