Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Friday, December 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
2 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
3 HONG Eason 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 3%
3 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
5 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 LI Kingston 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
7 DING Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
8 HAO Hardy 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
9 LI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
10 LI John 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
11 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
12 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
13 CHEN Andrew 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
14 LAU Jesse 100% 92% 61% 19% 1% -
15 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
16 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
17 YANG Mikey 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
18 LINDBERG Everett 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
18 YIM Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
20 SZETO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
21 MAH Caffrey 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
22 CHI Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 1%
23 HWANG Isaac 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
23 WANG Alexander 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
25 KIM Ian 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
26 SHI Ethan 100% 98% 82% 45% 10% -
27 SHEN Chris 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
28 NI Liam 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
29 LI nathan zeting 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
30 WAN William 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% -
31 LU Jayden 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
32 ZHANG George 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
33 DAI Greyson 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
34 TOUPET Luke 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
35 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
36 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
37 LEE Paxton 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
38 REED Andrew 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
39 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
40 LEI Hanson 100% 100% 100% 92% 54% 6%
41 LEE Zeo 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
42 HUO Yichen 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
43 STEPHAN Yannik Esteban 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
44 ANDERSON Aramis 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
45 YANG Liam 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
46 VILLAVERDE Aden 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
47 HAN Kyle 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.