James Madison University Open (at Richmond Fencing Club)

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAYUS Oliver 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
2 REHDER Silas - - 1% 9% 31% 45% 14%
3 HAYES Nathan P. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
3 WU Jiachen 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
5 WU Shaochi - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
6 LUNDEN Espen 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
7 RAWSON Nicholas - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
8 JARRATT Isaac 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
9 SINGH Meet - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
10 NANAYAKKARA Damin - 3% 19% 44% 34%
11 BOZARTH Alex - - 2% 22% 61% 15%
12 QU RuiTing 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
13 REHDER Caleb - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
14 GUO Benjamin 3% 20% 41% 30% 7%
15 GRAMLICH Bradley 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
16 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
17 MOORE Mary - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
18 KARASICK Andrew 1% 13% 38% 37% 11%
18 SIMS Martin L. - 5% 29% 50% 15% 1%
20 CAVE Rylan - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
21 GALIOTE James 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
22 AMES Jeremy - - 2% 10% 27% 39% 22%
23 HURST Palmer - - - 2% 26% 71%
24 CHONG Eden 1% 15% 58% 24% 2% -
25 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
26 RAGSDALE Lillian 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
27 PETROVSKI Kiril 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
28 SMITHSON Matthew 52% 37% 9% 1% -
29 CAMPBELL Paul - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
30 HALES Adam 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
31 SOUTHWORTH Connor 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
32 MARCUS Jonah 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
33 STRAFFORD Andrew 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
34 SWENSON Jason 7% 35% 39% 16% 2%
35 HUANG Taohua 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% -
36 BADLANI Neel 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
37 VILLAVICENCIO Fiorella 28% 51% 19% 2% - -
38 YANG Chuhan 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
39 COTHRAN Nicholas 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
40 GAGNON Charles 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
41 GUARDIOLA JR Oscar 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
42 AKKALE Reyhan 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
43 CRAMER Jay 48% 45% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.