Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 2%
2 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 2%
3 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
3 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
5 DING Xuanwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
6 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 SHIH Eva 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
8 CHONG Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20% 1%
9 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
10 YAO Astrid 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 1% -
11 ZHOU Kimberly 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
12 WU Kayleigh 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6%
13 CHOW Jolene 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
14 YU Elise 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2% -
15 HWANG Faith 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
16 LA Abigail 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
17 WANG Elizabeth 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
18 WU Avery 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
19 KIM EMMA 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
20 SHIH Cayla 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
21 SONG Esther W 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
22 LEE Katherine 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
23 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
24 BAI lufei 100% 75% 28% 4% - - -
25 FARMER Kennley 100% 96% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
26 ZHAO Diona 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
27 CALLAN Lily 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.