Purdue University Winter Open

Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Lambert Fieldhouse - West Lafayette, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAMERLEAU Ian - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
2 OUYANG Kaichang - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
3 REED Dusty (Allen) - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
3 GLEASON Cole - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
5 MOHOV Aleksey - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
6 BUTTA Reese 1% 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% < 1%
7 DAZEY Jason T. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
8 SERAFYM Damian - 3% 17% 40% 33% 7%
9 SAHA Sayan 1% 7% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
10 GUILFORD Corey 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
11 KRAVCENKO Nikita 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
12 SWANSON Dave - - 6% 27% 39% 23% 5%
13 COOK Aaron N. 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
14 BUTTA Robert 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
15 ZENG Zihan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
16 MYERS Lewis 24% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
17 GREEN Aleyce 46% 43% 10% 1% - - -
18 SCHROEDER Abigail 29% 54% 16% 2% - - -
19 BOLIG Emma 23% 45% 26% 6% - -
20 HENDERSON Emery 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.