Purdue University Winter Open

Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 6, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Lambert Fieldhouse - West Lafayette, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAMERLEAU Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
2 OUYANG Kaichang 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
3 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
3 GLEASON Cole 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
5 MOHOV Aleksey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
6 BUTTA Reese 100% 99% 89% 43% 10% 1% < 1%
7 DAZEY Jason T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
8 SERAFYM Damian 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
9 SAHA Sayan 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
10 GUILFORD Corey 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
11 KRAVCENKO Nikita 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
12 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
13 COOK Aaron N. 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
14 BUTTA Robert 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
15 ZENG Zihan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
16 MYERS Lewis 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
17 GREEN Aleyce 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
18 SCHROEDER Abigail 100% 71% 17% 2% - - -
19 BOLIG Emma 100% 77% 32% 6% - -
20 HENDERSON Emery 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.