James Madison University Open (at Richmond Fencing Club)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Nathan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
2 YI Kyle - - - 1% 10% 47% 43%
3 SWENSON Keane J. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 WHITE Myles - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
5 DIMMETT David C. - - - - 4% 30% 66%
6 LANG Kurt - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
7 WU Shaochi - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
8 SHELLY Emery - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
9 RAWSON Nicholas - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23% 2%
10 BENUCCI Vincent 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
11 GLOGOWSKI Konrad - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
12 DILDA Griffin - 7% 32% 44% 16% -
13 WATSON Raymond - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
14 CANDELARIA Armando - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
15 HAYES Nathan P. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
16 ISAACSON Bjorn < 1% 2% 17% 44% 36% 1%
17 WALLACE George - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
18 ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% -
19 EVANS Allen L. - - 3% 14% 36% 39% 8%
20 STRAFFORD Andrew 5% 25% 43% 22% 5% < 1% -
21 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - < 1% 8% 91%
22 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
23 BAYUS Oliver 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
24 WU Jiachen 21% 51% 24% 4% - -
24 CAMPBELL Paul - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
26 BOZARTH Alex - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
27 GUO Benjamin 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
28 DE MEDEIROS Cecilia - 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
29 CHONG Eden 48% 41% 10% 1% - -
30 TANG Justin - 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
31 KARASICK Andrew 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
32 HO Lucas 1% 11% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
33 DELONG Mike - 1% 11% 33% 40% 14% 1%
34 SILVA Hailey 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
35 SHIN Jamie 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
36 CAVE Rylan - 1% 6% 25% 41% 23% 4%
37 QU RuiTing - 7% 33% 39% 17% 3% -
38 KRECK Marie 1% 16% 52% 28% 4% - -
39 GRAMLICH Bradley 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
40 HUANG Taohua 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
41 LUNDEN Espen 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
42 COTHRAN Nicholas 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
43 SOUTHWORTH Connor 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
44 RAGSDALE Lillian 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
45 COX Jeniffer 8% 37% 47% 8% - - -
46 SMITHSON Matthew 86% 13% 1% - - - -
46 COX Brian 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
49 CRAMER Jay 26% 49% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.