James Madison University Open (at Richmond Fencing Club)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
2 YI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
3 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
5 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 LANG Kurt 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
7 WU Shaochi 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
8 SHELLY Emery 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
9 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 2%
10 BENUCCI Vincent 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
11 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
12 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 92% 60% 16% -
13 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
14 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
15 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
16 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 1%
17 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
18 ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% -
19 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
20 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 95% 70% 27% 5% < 1% -
21 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
22 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
23 BAYUS Oliver 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2% -
24 WU Jiachen 100% 79% 28% 4% - -
24 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
26 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
27 GUO Benjamin 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
28 DE MEDEIROS Cecilia 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 9% 1%
29 CHONG Eden 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
30 TANG Justin 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
31 KARASICK Andrew 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
32 HO Lucas 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
33 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
34 SILVA Hailey 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
35 SHIN Jamie 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
36 CAVE Rylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 4%
37 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
38 KRECK Marie 100% 99% 83% 31% 4% - -
39 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
40 HUANG Taohua 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
41 LUNDEN Espen 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
42 COTHRAN Nicholas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
43 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
44 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
45 COX Jeniffer 100% 92% 55% 8% - - -
46 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 14% 1% - - - -
46 COX Brian 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
49 CRAMER Jay 100% 74% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.