James Madison University Open (at Richmond Fencing Club)

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
2 SKOLNICK Michael W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
3 NANAYAKKARA Dinuth 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
3 CHANG Zane 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
5 CHANG Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 38% 6%
6 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
7 BORAN Connor 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 4%
8 AN Jasmine N. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
9 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
10 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
11 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 17%
12 SINGH Meet 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
13 MITCHELL Robert 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
14 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 100% 94% 62% 19% 1%
15 IVATURI Sivakrishna Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
16 GUARDIOLA Emily 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
17 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
18 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
19 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
20 JONES Zamauri 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
21 SHEA Aleksander 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
21 TINGLE Byrd 100% 100% 96% 65% 21% 2%
23 TANG Justin 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
24 CICCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
25 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 90% 52% 12% 1% -
26 YEE Calvin 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
27 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
28 SOTO Alejandro 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
29 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 91% 45% 10% 1% -
30 LI Happy 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
31 BLEVINS Carolyn 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
32 SIMANJUNTAK Jocelyn 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
33 JACOFF Amelia 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
34 KRUPICKA Evelyn 100% 99% 87% 50% 10% -
35 HAVERSON Rana 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
36 TRAN Katarina 100% 70% 21% 3% - -
37 DILLENBACK Isaiah 100% 100% 93% 64% 19% 2%
37 HALL Joshua 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
39 REARDON Caleb 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.