Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Evan - - - 2% 19% 80%
2 YE Aaron - - - 3% 28% 68%
3 TABANCAY Cole - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
3 WANG Henrik - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
5 CHANG Allen 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% < 1%
6 JIAO Lawrence - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
7 YANG Collin 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
8 LEE Hubert Junhu - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
9 CHEN Donovan - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
10 JIANG Hardy - 6% 30% 46% 17% 1%
11 QIAO Jason - 1% 7% 30% 51% 11%
12 YAN Kaysen 6% 37% 39% 15% 2% -
13 ZHENG Matt - 3% 19% 43% 33% 2%
14 WU August 1% 7% 28% 43% 20% 1%
15 YANG Austin - - - 6% 30% 64%
16 LAM Dylan 1% 11% 39% 36% 13% 1%
17 ARVIND Dhruv 1% 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
18 JUNG Diego 27% 43% 24% 5% - -
19 JIANG Harry 6% 26% 39% 23% 4% -
20 LIN Rongcheng Noah 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
21 ZHANG Kingstin - 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
22 QIU Carson 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
23 TAM Ethan 1% 8% 27% 41% 22% 1%
24 KIM Dylan 16% 38% 33% 11% 1% -
25 LI Nathan 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
26 XIA Daniel - 5% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
27 CHANG Jarrett - 1% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
28 JIANG Alex - 1% 12% 37% 40% 9%
29 HAO Jefferson 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
30 PAN Wesley 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
32 WOO Jonathan 11% 36% 37% 14% 1% -
33 ZHANG Jiahang 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
34 LEUNG Ian 9% 32% 38% 18% 2% -
35 CHENG Daniel 43% 44% 12% 1% - - -
36 LAN Rory 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
37 HORIKAWA Xander 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
38 GOURJI Roman 67% 28% 4% - - -
39 DJUNAEDI Brann 5% 27% 41% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.