Nick Itkin Cup SYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Palm Springs Convention Center - Palm Springs, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 WANG Henrik 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
5 CHANG Allen 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% < 1%
6 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 4%
7 YANG Collin 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
8 LEE Hubert Junhu 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
9 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
10 JIANG Hardy 100% 100% 94% 64% 18% 1%
11 QIAO Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 11%
12 YAN Kaysen 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% -
13 ZHENG Matt 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% 2%
14 WU August 100% 99% 92% 64% 21% 1%
15 YANG Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
16 LAM Dylan 100% 99% 89% 50% 14% 1%
17 ARVIND Dhruv 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
18 JUNG Diego 100% 73% 29% 6% - -
19 JIANG Harry 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
20 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
21 ZHANG Kingstin 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 2%
22 QIU Carson 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
23 TAM Ethan 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 1%
24 KIM Dylan 100% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
25 LI Nathan 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
26 XIA Daniel 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
27 CHANG Jarrett 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
28 JIANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 9%
29 HAO Jefferson 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
30 PAN Wesley 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
32 WOO Jonathan 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
33 ZHANG Jiahang 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
34 LEUNG Ian 100% 91% 59% 21% 2% -
35 CHENG Daniel 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
36 LAN Rory 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% - -
37 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
38 GOURJI Roman 100% 33% 4% - - -
39 DJUNAEDI Brann 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.