9th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VAUGHAN Paul 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 55%
2 BROWN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 34%
3 STRATHMAN Cordelia 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
5 STEPHENS Rick W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% -
6 STRASBURG Grant 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 25%
7 FULLER II Thomas 100% 99% 88% 52% 12% 1%
8 GENTA Camden 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
9 SMITH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 92% 48% 8%
10 BUECKING Jannis 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
11 SCOGGIN Daniel 100% 98% 77% 23% 3% -
12 GIOCOLO David 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% - -
13 HELLMAN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
14 METTE JB 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
15 HERL DeLaine 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
16 RENAUD Josie 100% 58% 8% - - -
17 DUNN Heidi 100% 63% 14% 1% - -
18 PETTIJOHN Luke 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
19 WESTON Michael 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.