TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Manhattan) #2

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
2 ZHANG Ethan 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
3 TARDIFF Finn 19% 40% 30% 10% 1%
3 TAUR Marcus 11% 34% 37% 17% 3%
5 KO Logan 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
6 BAJAJ Aarav - - 3% 25% 72%
7 MEROLLA Luca 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 2%
8 LACK Rye 37% 43% 17% 3% -
9 LAO Sebastian 34% 43% 19% 4% -
10 MOREHOUSE Jack 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
11 JIANG Elvin 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
12 GIMBRERE Arthur 5% 28% 46% 21% 1%
13 CANNER Jack - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
15 ALI Zidane 1% 14% 43% 39% 2%
16 MEYERS Alec 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
17 RAO Milan 1% 16% 46% 35% 2%
18 LIOU Paxton 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
19 EPELBAUM Jakob < 1% 7% 33% 47% 13%
20 COICAUD-ZHANG Haibo 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
20 PALOMERA Mateo 15% 49% 30% 6% -
22 SOHN William 7% 30% 39% 20% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.