TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Manhattan) #2

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
2 ZHANG Ethan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
3 TARDIFF Finn 100% 81% 41% 11% 1%
3 TAUR Marcus 100% 89% 56% 19% 3%
5 KO Logan 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
6 BAJAJ Aarav 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
7 MEROLLA Luca 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
8 LACK Rye 100% 63% 20% 3% -
9 LAO Sebastian 100% 66% 23% 4% -
10 MOREHOUSE Jack 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
11 JIANG Elvin 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
12 GIMBRERE Arthur 100% 95% 67% 21% 1%
13 CANNER Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
15 ALI Zidane 100% 99% 85% 42% 2%
16 MEYERS Alec 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
17 RAO Milan 100% 99% 83% 37% 2%
18 LIOU Paxton 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
19 EPELBAUM Jakob 100% 100% 92% 60% 13%
20 COICAUD-ZHANG Haibo 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
20 PALOMERA Mateo 100% 85% 36% 6% -
22 SOHN William 100% 93% 63% 24% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.