Portland Winter RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOLLOW Bennett - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
2 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
3 ERPELDING Ryan - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
3 XIA Henson - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
6 PETTY Eliot 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10%
7 LUO Winston - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
9 ZHEN Felix 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
10 XIE Ryan 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
11 HADFIELD Gavin 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
12 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
13 CAI Lucas 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
14 KIM ZOLLER Jude 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
15 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
16 LUTZ Benjamin 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
17 NGUYEN Asher 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
18 MA Garrison 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
19 LEE Ryker - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
20 LUO Nathan 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
21 BATTEN Miles 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.