Portland Winter RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
2 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
3 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
3 XIA Henson 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
6 PETTY Eliot 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
7 LUO Winston 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
9 ZHEN Felix 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
10 XIE Ryan 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
11 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
12 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
13 CAI Lucas 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
14 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
15 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
16 LUTZ Benjamin 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
17 NGUYEN Asher 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
18 MA Garrison 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
19 LEE Ryker 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
20 LUO Nathan 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
21 BATTEN Miles 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.