Treasure Chest RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, January 20, 2019 at 1:00 PM

San Francisco, CA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Sylvia	-	-	4%	23%	47%	25%
2	CHO Gracie L.	-	-	5%	22%	43%	30%
3	LI Phoebe J.	-	1%	10%	33%	40%	16%
3	SHIH Diane	-	6%	24%	39%	25%	5%
5	ALTEN Ayaka	-	1%	6%	20%	35%	29%	9%
6	LEE Isabelle	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	24%
7	SU Alysa J.	-	4%	17%	33%	31%	13%	2%
8	KOROL Neta	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	15%
9	SHITAMOTO Audrey F.	2%	14%	33%	33%	15%	2%
10	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	22%
11	TALWALKAR Apoorva	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
12	CUI Melody J.	6%	30%	43%	18%	3%	-
13	KOROL Dana	-	1%	8%	28%	42%	21%
14	CHUNG Jaein	-	-	4%	22%	45%	29%
15	LUO Sandra J.	1%	7%	27%	39%	22%	4%
16	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	-	2%	13%	35%	38%	12%
17	FERNANDES Thea	-	1%	6%	21%	35%	28%	8%
18	TOM Caitlyn	5%	25%	40%	24%	6%	-
19	SUN Chien-Yu	1%	7%	25%	37%	24%	5%
20	SU Alena J.	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	9%
21	LEE Samantha X.	1%	12%	35%	36%	14%	2%
22	GREEN Perri L.	24%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-
23	BHARATHI Maithreyi S.	-	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	7%
24	SUN Ruoxi	-	3%	19%	44%	29%	6%
25	HO Rachel E.	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	2%
26	HSIUNG Samantha	22%	47%	25%	6%	1%	-
27	WALBERT Charlotte B.	1%	7%	24%	37%	25%	6%
28	KIM Hyunchae Y.	4%	24%	40%	25%	7%	1%
29	KOSLOW Amicie	8%	39%	38%	13%	2%	-
31	WELBORN Calissa	1%	11%	33%	38%	15%	2%
32	LEE Bethanie	-	5%	22%	39%	27%	6%
33	UPENDER Cosette K.	4%	20%	36%	29%	10%	1%
34	DERMETZIS Adriana	39%	42%	16%	3%	-	-
35	GONG Chloe	16%	37%	32%	13%	2%	-
36	LIN Katherine Y.	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
37	HOBSON Ava	12%	44%	34%	9%	1%	-
38	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	5%	22%	36%	26%	10%	2%	-
39	NARBERES Emily R.	46%	41%	12%	1%	-	-
40	DHILLON Amani	33%	44%	19%	4%	-	-
41	NAGPAL Reyna	15%	46%	31%	7%	1%	-	-
42	ELANGOVAN Mamata	19%	47%	27%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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