AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #2

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
2 CHO Lincoln 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
3 SZETO Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
3 ARULKUMAR Rihaan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
5 MAYA Fabien 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 11% < 1%
6 SHEN Chris 100% 99% 91% 58% 14% 1%
7 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
8 HILL Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
9 ZHANG Luran 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
10 LAZOVSKY Ryan 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
11 GYR Jonah 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
12 MAHILCHI Akil 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
13 YANG Liam 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
14 LUCAS Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
15 LUCENAY Mael 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
16 YAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
17 ZHU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
18 ASHWINRAM Miyunth 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
19 CHENG Edward 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
20 GENERALOV Nikolay 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.