Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
2 LI Kayla 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
3 OZALP Tara 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
3 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
5 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
6 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 SELASSIE Semara 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
8 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
9 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
10 XI Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
11 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
12 REDWINE Louise 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
13 LEE Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
14 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
15 WILLIAMSON Aria 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
16 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
17 FEESER Alexia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 10%
18 MARGAGLIONE Veronica 100% 81% 38% 10% 1% - -
19 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
20 MAO Faith 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
21 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
22 KAUR Harman 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
23 GUAN Charlotte 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 5% -
24 SOLGI Ava 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
25 MERHEJ Liv 100% 79% 39% 10% 2% - -
26 RODRIGUEZ Ivy 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
27 MERHEJ Lea 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
28 PINKNEY Jolie 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
29 JIN Serena 100% 97% 84% 55% 25% 6% 1%
30 TAN Abriel 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
31 LEE Iona 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
32 ZHU Kaylee 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
33 YOU Nina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
34 MORALES Valentina 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
35 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
36 YULO Jamie 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
37 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
38 YOON Michelle 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
39 VOLPE Cora 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
40 SHANG Adeline 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
41 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
42 FA Kinyin 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.