Portland Winter RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 SMITH Etienne 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
3 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
5 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 1%
6 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
7 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
8 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
9 FISH Wade 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 PERNICK Rhen 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
11 XIA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
12 LEE Andrew 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
14 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
15 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
16 MODJESKI Lincoln 100% 90% 49% 12% 1% -
17 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
18 STEIPP Mathew 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
19 TEE Benjamin 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
20 WILCOX Kellen 100% 90% 56% 17% 2%
21 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
22 LUO Winston 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
23 ZHEN Felix 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
24 LIN Escher 100% 77% 34% 7% -
25 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
26 LUTZ Benjamin 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
27 MORRIS Gray 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
28 CAI Lucas 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%
29 ZELEN Hayden 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
30 KRIEG Fionn 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.