Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, December 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUFF Michael - - 4% 22% 47% 26%
2 LU Simon - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
3 SU Eric - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
3 CAO HAOTIAN - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
5 CHEN Harrison - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
6 KUANG Cyrus - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
7 YE Aaron - 3% 19% 42% 32% 4%
8 SALMAN Ibrahim - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
9 BALAGOPAL Aditya 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
10 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
11 WU Allen 1% 14% 37% 35% 12% 1%
12 ZHANG Caleb - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
13 DING Orlando - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
14 PARK Jayden - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
15 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
16 QIAO Jason 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
17 KELLY Collin - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
17 OH Caleb 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
19 TIAGI Ronald - 2% 17% 41% 32% 8%
20 GHIM Ethan - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
21 NAKAMURA Haruki 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
22 WILLIS-STEED Sacha 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
23 VADLAMANI Anirudh Dhir - 3% 18% 38% 31% 8%
24 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 6% 32% 41% 19% 3% -
25 GONG Johnny 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
26 SHI Mark 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
27 KIM Christopher 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
28 JAIN Aarambh 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
29 GUO Aiden 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
30 KWON Joon 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
31 LEE Seojun 12% 40% 36% 11% 1% -
32 JIANG Hardy 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
33 LIANG Henry 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
34 POLES Lucas 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
35 LIN Rongcheng Noah 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
35 YUEN Travis 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
37 GUPTA Abir 69% 27% 4% - - -
38 KHAN Zorayz 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
39 SAMPAT Arjun 51% 40% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.