Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
2 SINHA Verdhaan - - - 3% 23% 65% 9%
3 RUBY Asher - 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
3 TOEWS Jackson - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
5 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
6 CHEZ Nolan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
7 SMITH Erick - - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10%
8 ZINSER James - 8% 30% 42% 20% -
9 SHI Boris - - 8% 29% 39% 21% 3%
10 GNEUHS Sam - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
11 FRASER Rhys - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 CHAN Tyler - - - - 7% 93%
13 CHO Xzander - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 ARATA Connor - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
15 TEH Tang-Ngu - 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
16 WEBSTER Liam 1% 17% 40% 33% 9% -
17 WHEELOCK Bryan M. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
18 RONE Tosan - - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10%
19 HEYBOER Jason - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
20 WILEY Conor - 8% 31% 42% 19% 1%
21 EDWARDS Connor - - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
22 MCKEE Calvin - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
23 YU Leo - - - - 4% 28% 67%
24 DAVIS Benjamin - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
25 TAGORE Reyansh 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
26 COOK Grant 1% 17% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
27 FERGUSON Levi 5% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
28 HERRERA Xavier 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
29 BLAKEMAN Michael J. - 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2%
30 CARRINO David - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
31 WENGER Liam 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
32 HONG Derek - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
33 CHUN Zachary 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3% -
34 WEINSTEIN Ethan - 2% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
35 WENGER Rowan 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
36 LINEBERRY CADEN - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
37 STORER Alexander - 2% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
38 BALES Gabriel 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
39 DAVIS Jace W. 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
40 CLIPPARD Erik J. 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
41 DELL George H. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
42 FEEHAN Conor 4% 30% 41% 21% 4% -
43 TAGORE Ayansh 67% 29% 4% - - -
44 ZHANG Hanson 13% 43% 32% 11% 2% - -
44 DACKO Nolan 2% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1% -
46 CHUN Alexander 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
47 HASTINGS Alex 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2% -
48 TREANOR Donald K. 1% 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
49 WINTERS Linus 65% 32% 3% - - - -
50 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 76% 22% 2% - - - -
51 MISIOURA Mark 4% 36% 40% 17% 3% - -
52 DENG Albert 70% 27% 3% - - - -
53 POLYZOIS Alkis 63% 32% 5% - - - -
53 ROY Griffin 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
55 BELL Alexander 20% 61% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.