Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
2 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 9%
3 RUBY Asher 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
3 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
6 CHEZ Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
7 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
8 ZINSER James 100% 100% 92% 62% 21% -
9 SHI Boris 100% 100% 100% 91% 63% 24% 3%
10 GNEUHS Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
11 FRASER Rhys 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
12 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
13 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
14 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
15 TEH Tang-Ngu 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
16 WEBSTER Liam 100% 99% 82% 42% 9% -
17 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
18 RONE Tosan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
19 HEYBOER Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
20 WILEY Conor 100% 100% 92% 61% 19% 1%
21 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 5%
22 MCKEE Calvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
23 YU Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
24 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
25 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
26 COOK Grant 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 2% -
27 FERGUSON Levi 100% 95% 61% 22% 4% - -
28 HERRERA Xavier 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
29 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
30 CARRINO David 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
31 WENGER Liam 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
32 HONG Derek 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
33 CHUN Zachary 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3% -
34 WEINSTEIN Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
35 WENGER Rowan 100% 92% 51% 15% 2% - -
36 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
37 STORER Alexander 100% 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1%
38 BALES Gabriel 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
39 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
40 CLIPPARD Erik J. 100% 98% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
41 DELL George H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
42 FEEHAN Conor 100% 96% 66% 24% 4% -
43 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 33% 5% - - -
44 ZHANG Hanson 100% 87% 45% 13% 2% - -
44 DACKO Nolan 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
46 CHUN Alexander 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
47 HASTINGS Alex 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
48 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 99% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
49 WINTERS Linus 100% 35% 3% - - - -
50 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 100% 24% 2% - - - -
51 MISIOURA Mark 100% 96% 60% 20% 3% - -
52 DENG Albert 100% 30% 4% - - - -
53 POLYZOIS Alkis 100% 37% 5% - - - -
53 ROY Griffin 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
55 BELL Alexander 100% 80% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.