Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Seojin - - - - - 7% 93%
2 DUFF Caitlin - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
3 YU Stella - - - - 2% 23% 75%
3 KU Chloe - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
5 CAO Kim - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
6 PARK Chloe - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
7 CHENG Anna - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
8 SARATH Sana - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
9 HU Ashley - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
10 YU Skylar - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
11 CHERON Helene - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
12 XIAO Cindy - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
13 PEREIRA Izumi - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
14 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - - 5% 24% 46% 26%
15 POWERS Waverly - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
16 SUTHERLAND Sadie 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
17 HWANG Charlotte - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
18 DING Jolie - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18% -
19 CORD Sophia - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
20 KIM Lucy 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
21 OH Chloe - 5% 26% 43% 22% 4%
22 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
23 SON Ellie 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
24 CLAIANU Adriana - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
25 KIM Grace M. 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
26 YANG Felicia - - 4% 21% 43% 30% 1%
27 PALLADINO Aria 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
28 MACHIRAJU Ishita - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 4%
29 FISCHER Luna 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
30 TAN Angela 1% 14% 41% 34% 10% 1%
31 LIU Teresa - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14% 1%
32 LIN Rongxuan - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
33 LIU Alyssa 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
34 LIANG Katherine 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
35 YU Sydney 2% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
36 WEI Levana - 2% 19% 43% 30% 6%
37 OEI Allyson 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
38 PARK Hannah 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
39 KHAN Zoya 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
40 MEADE Kaia G. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
41 SEO Yunseo 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
42 SIMON Mariana 21% 47% 26% 5% - -
43 ONG Katherine 2% 16% 44% 30% 7% 1%
44 VARAH Alaia 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
45 VU Claire 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
46 ANUP Aadhira 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
47 VINES Annie 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
48 CHEXAL Nehali 34% 48% 16% 2% - -
49 WINSLOW Zaria 3% 19% 42% 28% 7% 1%
50 JIN Ailin 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
51 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 10% 48% 33% 8% 1% -
52 LIU Michelle 39% 44% 15% 2% - -
53 KIM Nakyeong - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
54 HUANG Annie 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
55 SRA Nureen 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
56 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
57 GUPTA Kanak 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
58 BAO Amelia 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
59 LEE Chaewon 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
60 BEAVERS cole 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
61 SOUTHWELL Mia 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
62 GANGUMALLA Srikari 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
63 ALAM Zara 69% 28% 3% - - -
64 ZHOU kelsey 35% 48% 15% 2% - -
65 WINGLER Ezri 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.